由美國經(jīng)濟學聯(lián)合會主辦的《美國經(jīng)濟評論》創(chuàng)刊于1911年,距今整整100周年,是在美國影響最大,也是世界知名遐邇的經(jīng)濟學期刊之一。為紀念創(chuàng)刊100周年,期刊特邀了阿羅(K.J.Arrow)、伯恩黑姆(D.Bernheim)、費爾德斯坦(M.S.Feldstein)、麥克法登(D.L.McFadden)、波特巴(J.M.Poterba)與索洛(R.M.Solow)等六位著名經(jīng)濟學家,成立了“20篇最佳論文”評選委員會,在該刊100年來刊登的數(shù)千篇文章中,甄選出對經(jīng)濟學發(fā)展與實踐產(chǎn)生深遠、重大影響,且富有創(chuàng)造性的20篇最佳論文。2011年第1期《美國經(jīng)濟評論》出版了百年紀念特刊,開辟了百年論壇專欄,并公布了中選結(jié)果。膺選論文都名重一時,代表了每一時期經(jīng)濟學的最高學術(shù)水平, 同時整體再現(xiàn)了百年來在經(jīng)濟學領(lǐng)域艱辛跋涉、不斷探索的歷史發(fā)展軌跡,反映了美國主流經(jīng)濟學的基本走向。 為了提選最具開創(chuàng)意義和積厚流廣的論文,評委會首先使用了JSTOR(Journal Storage)系統(tǒng)的論文引用和查詢數(shù)量作為參考指標進行初選。其后,為避免因論文引用與查詢數(shù)量指標的內(nèi)在缺陷可能導致早期刊發(fā)的經(jīng)濟學家的文章被漏選或誤選,評委會對若干著名經(jīng)濟學家的相關(guān)文章也給予了重點關(guān)注。最后,評委會每個人以自己對于質(zhì)量和重要性的判斷為標準,從已選論文中再作遴選,授予20篇論文為百年最佳論文。其中,12篇論文為諾貝爾經(jīng)濟學獎得主獨著或合著的經(jīng)典論文。現(xiàn)給出這20篇膺選最佳論文的導讀,以饗讀者,讓讀者感受這些經(jīng)濟學經(jīng)典文獻所蘊含的內(nèi)在價值。20篇文章如下:
[1]Alchian, A.A. & H.Demsetz(1972),“Production, information costs, and economic organization”, AER,62(5):777-95. [2]Cobb,C.W. & P.H.Douglas(1928),“A theory of production”, AER,18(1):139-65. [3]Deaton,A.S. & J.Muellbauer(1980),“An almost ideal demand system”, AER,70(3):312-26. [4]Diamond,P.A. & J.A.Mirrlees(1971),“Optimal taxation and public production I: Production efficiency”, AER,61(1):8-27. [5]Diamond,P.A. & J.A.Mirrlees(1971),“Optimal taxation and public production II: Tax rules”, AER,61(3):261-78. [6]Diamond,P.A.(1965),“National debt in a neoclassical growth model”, AER,55(5):1126-50. [7]Dixit, A.K. & J.E.Stiglitz(1977),“Monopolistic competition and optimum product diversity”, AER 67(3):297-308. [8]Friedman,M.(1968),“The role of monetary policy”, AER,58(1):1-17. [9]Grossman,S.J. & J.E.Stiglitz(1980),“On the impossibility of informationally efficient markets”, AER, 70(3):393-408. [10]Harris,J.R. & M.P.Todaro(1970),“Migration, unemployment and development: A two-sector analysis”, AER, 60(1):126-42. [11]Hayek,F.A.(1945),“The use of knowledge in society”, AER,35(4):519-30. [11]Jorgenson,D.W.(1963),“Capital theory and investment behavior”, AER,53(2):247-59. [13]Krueger,A.O.(1974),“The political economy of the rent-seeking society”, AER,64(3):291-303. [14]Krugman,P.(1980),“Scale economies, product differentiation, and the pattern of trade”, AER, 70(5):950-59. [15]Kuznets,S.(1955),“Economic growth and income inequality”, AER,45(1):1-28. [16]Lucas,R.E.Jr.(1973),“Some international evidence on output-inflation tradeoffs”, AER,63(3):326-34. [17]Modigliani,F. & M.H.Miller(1958),“The cost of capital, corporation finance and the theory of investment”, AER,48(3):261-97. [18]Mundell,R.A.(1961),“A theory of optimum currency areas”, AER,51(4):657-65. [19]Ross,S.A.(1973),“The economic theory of agency: The principal’s problem”, AER,63(2):134-39. [20]Shiller,R.J.(1981),“Do stock prices move too much to be justified by subsequent changes in dividends?” AER,71(3):421-36.
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